Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.8% | 21.2% | -7.2 | ✗ (22.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +15 (121-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Brown * | 37 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 37 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 13-19 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jack White | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 13 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 26 | 12-19 | 8-11 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter