Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.8 | ✓ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +19 (120-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 32 | 6-16 | 1-9 | 7-7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 30 | 6-19 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | -1 | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Tari Eason | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 19 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 10-21 | 8-17 | 2-3 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 24 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 14-19 | 8-10 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 27 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 27 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 20 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 17 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter