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2022-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 40.9% 59.1% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 46.3% 53.7% +0.8 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -
Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Log Adjusted 34.1% 65.9% -
Points Off/Def 34.7% 65.3% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +13 (121-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bol Bol * 27 7-8 0-1 4-5 7 1 1 1 18 - -
Paolo Banchero * 26 2-8 1-5 4-6 3 3 1 0 9 - -
Franz Wagner * 22 4-8 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 9 - -
Moritz Wagner * 21 2-7 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 1 5 - -
Markelle Fultz * 18 3-8 0-0 1-2 1 4 1 0 7 - -
Caleb Houstan 24 3-9 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Terrence Ross 24 7-7 4-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 18 - -
Cole Anthony 23 4-10 1-3 3-3 3 5 1 0 12 - -
Kevon Harris 20 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Admiral Schofield 19 3-7 1-4 6-6 0 3 0 0 13 - -
R.J. Hampton 8 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 4 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 37 4-11 3-8 2-3 2 7 3 0 13 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 33 12-17 2-4 6-8 2 4 3 0 32 - -
Scottie Barnes * 32 8-10 0-2 1-3 14 4 2 1 17 - -
Pascal Siakam * 30 9-15 1-4 7-7 8 10 3 0 26 - -
Christian Koloko * 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 28 2-10 1-7 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 - -
Chris Boucher 17 2-5 1-3 1-2 4 2 1 1 6 - -
Thaddeus Young 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Dalano Banton 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Malachi Flynn 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Khem Birch 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter