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2022-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% - ✗
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 ✗ (26.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - ✗
Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 38.7% 61.3% - ✗
Points Off/Def 38.3% 61.7% - ✗

Actual: New York Knicks -21 (100-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Spencer Dinwiddie * 30 6-16 3-8 2-3 9 9 0 1 17 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 30 1-8 1-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 - -
Luka Doncic * 29 11-21 4-9 4-4 8 7 1 3 30 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 27 10-17 8-13 0-1 7 1 1 0 28 - -
Dwight Powell * 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 6 - -
Josh Green 27 2-6 1-4 2-3 3 5 2 0 7 - -
Reggie Bullock 24 3-8 3-7 1-1 4 1 1 0 10 - -
Maxi Kleber 22 5-8 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Davis Bertans 7 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaden Hardy 6 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Frank Ntilikina 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
JaVale McGee 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Theo Pinson 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 30 8-15 3-8 5-5 5 3 0 0 24 - -
Quentin Grimes * 29 4-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 9 - -
Jalen Brunson * 27 5-11 2-3 1-2 2 3 0 0 13 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 22 1-2 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 1 2 - -
RJ Barrett * 20 4-9 1-3 4-5 6 3 1 0 13 - -
Immanuel Quickley 29 7-11 2-5 7-10 6 0 0 0 23 - -
Obi Toppin 21 1-5 0-2 2-2 7 1 1 0 4 - -
Derrick Rose 13 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 2 - -
Cam Reddish 9 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jericho Sims 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Miles McBride 7 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 3 1 0 1 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter