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2022-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 30.6% 69.4% -
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.6% 52.4% -
Log Adjusted 47.6% 52.4% -
Points Off/Def 43.5% 56.5% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +8 (119-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 35 8-18 3-7 2-3 7 3 2 0 21 15 -
DeMar DeRozan * 35 4-15 0-0 8-9 6 7 0 0 16 14 -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 9-17 2-7 3-4 11 1 3 0 23 21 -
Alex Caruso * 27 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 6 1 0 2 5 -
Javonte Green * 22 5-7 0-1 3-6 4 1 1 1 13 13 -
Goran Dragic 23 6-11 2-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 14 12 -
Ayo Dosunmu 20 4-4 1-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 9 13 -
Patrick Williams 18 3-9 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 0 -
Derrick Jones Jr. 10 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
Coby White 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
Andre Drummond 5 0-2 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 36 9-21 3-13 5-5 5 6 0 0 26 16 -
Draymond Green * 35 4-6 2-3 3-3 9 10 0 2 13 28 -
Stephen Curry * 33 6-16 4-8 3-3 11 6 0 1 19 21 -
Andrew Wiggins * 30 5-10 2-6 0-2 2 1 0 1 12 6 -
Kevon Looney * 27 3-5 0-0 1-4 12 3 1 1 7 19 -
Jordan Poole 23 11-18 7-13 1-2 1 1 1 0 30 15 -
Donte DiVincenzo 16 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 5 -
Anthony Lamb 15 1-2 1-1 1-2 4 2 0 0 4 8 -
JaMychal Green 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Jonathan Kuminga 10 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 3 -

* = starter