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2022-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 24.7% 75.3% -
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% -
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.5% 65.5% -
Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.1% 78.9% -
Log Adjusted 21.1% 78.9% -
Points Off/Def 25.6% 74.4% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -1 (121-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 37 8-24 2-7 12-16 3 2 3 0 30 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 33 3-8 1-4 8-9 6 7 0 0 15 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 30 7-12 3-5 0-0 6 0 1 1 17 - -
Eric Gordon * 27 2-7 1-6 5-6 0 1 1 0 10 - -
Alperen Sengun * 23 5-7 0-0 3-5 4 2 2 1 13 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 18 2-4 0-1 3-3 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Tari Eason 17 4-8 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 9 - -
Daishen Nix 15 1-2 0-0 1-1 5 5 1 0 3 - -
Bruno Fernando 13 7-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 14 - -
Garrison Mathews 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Usman Garuba 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Payne * 36 8-12 4-7 0-2 1 12 4 0 20 - -
Mikal Bridges * 36 8-16 3-7 3-3 8 2 1 0 22 - -
Devin Booker * 33 15-25 4-6 7-10 4 8 0 0 41 - -
Deandre Ayton * 29 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 8 - -
Dario Saric * 21 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 2 3 - -
Damion Lee 25 4-9 2-5 0-0 5 1 1 0 10 - -
Ish Wainright 19 2-4 2-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Landry Shamet 18 1-5 1-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Bismack Biyombo 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 - -
Jock Landale 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter