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2022-12-03

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% -
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 (23.7 off)
Pythagorean 65.0% 35.0% -
Efficiency 81.3% 18.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% -
Log Adjusted 80.5% 19.5% -
Points Off/Def 70.1% 29.9% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -18 (99-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 33 6-15 5-12 0-0 3 2 2 1 17 - -
Zion Williamson * 33 9-14 0-2 12-13 15 8 2 1 30 - -
CJ McCollum * 31 2-11 1-5 0-0 4 4 0 0 5 - -
Dyson Daniels * 31 2-7 0-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 4 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 8-11 1-2 4-4 11 2 0 1 21 - -
Jose Alvarado 23 5-12 3-7 2-2 2 5 2 0 15 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 22 2-4 0-1 3-3 7 0 0 1 7 - -
Naji Marshall 20 5-11 1-5 4-4 5 1 2 0 15 - -
Devonte' Graham 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 - -
Garrett Temple 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keldon Johnson * 35 7-23 1-8 0-1 6 3 0 0 15 - -
Devin Vassell * 35 9-23 5-12 2-2 4 3 0 1 25 - -
Keita Bates-Diop * 33 3-7 2-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 10 - -
Tre Jones * 33 3-9 1-3 2-2 5 9 2 0 9 - -
Zach Collins * 21 3-11 0-5 1-2 6 3 0 0 7 - -
Romeo Langford 22 3-7 0-1 4-5 4 0 0 0 10 - -
Charles Bassey 20 5-5 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 2 11 - -
Malaki Branham 19 2-8 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 1 5 - -
Isaiah Roby 15 3-5 1-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 7 - -
Alize Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter