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2022-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 37.6% 62.4% -
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% -
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.0% 65.0% -
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% -
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -4 (129-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 39 18-27 2-3 6-7 10 4 0 3 44 34 -
LeBron James * 37 12-27 3-6 1-2 8 11 2 0 28 22 -
Lonnie Walker IV * 33 4-10 2-5 4-4 2 0 0 1 14 7 -
Troy Brown Jr. * 24 4-5 1-2 0-0 4 0 3 0 9 11 -
Patrick Beverley * 23 3-5 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 7 8 -
Austin Reaves 32 2-5 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 7 6 -
Russell Westbrook 28 6-11 0-2 3-7 7 11 0 0 15 22 -
Wenyen Gabriel 14 2-4 1-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 5 9 -
Thomas Bryant 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Kendrick Nunn 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 39 11-20 6-12 0-0 6 9 1 0 28 24 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 16-23 0-3 8-11 7 5 0 1 40 30 -
Brook Lopez * 31 4-7 3-5 2-2 7 1 0 3 13 17 -
Grayson Allen * 28 3-6 2-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 8 8 -
Khris Middleton * 26 6-11 3-4 2-2 2 7 0 0 17 15 -
Bobby Portis 21 7-13 1-4 0-0 10 2 0 0 15 14 -
Jevon Carter 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 2 -
Pat Connaughton 18 3-10 2-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 2 -
Wesley Matthews 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
George Hill 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter