Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | -3.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +8 (117-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 22 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 17 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 13-22 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin * | 34 | 11-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 22 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter