Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +6 (131-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 41 | 13-25 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 40 | 9-20 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 34 | 10-13 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 32 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 41 | 10-14 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 34 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 32 | 10-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers * | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey | 35 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 19 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter