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2022-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 65.3% 34.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 34.4% 65.6% +3.5 (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.0% 65.0% -
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% -
Points Off/Def 35.8% 64.2% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +19 (128-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 38 9-22 2-7 2-2 4 8 1 0 22 - -
Justise Winslow * 36 9-11 3-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 21 - -
Jerami Grant * 35 10-23 2-5 5-6 4 5 2 1 27 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 31 2-8 0-1 4-6 10 1 1 1 8 - -
Trendon Watford * 30 4-6 0-1 2-2 10 1 0 0 10 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 27 7-12 1-4 1-1 3 0 0 0 16 - -
Jabari Walker 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Drew Eubanks 13 0-0 0-0 3-4 3 2 0 1 3 - -
Greg Brown III 8 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 - -
John Butler Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 34 7-10 2-5 6-8 5 3 1 1 22 - -
LeBron James * 32 12-18 6-8 1-3 7 8 0 1 31 - -
Anthony Davis * 29 9-17 1-2 8-9 12 1 1 3 27 - -
Dennis Schroder * 29 3-7 0-0 0-1 1 5 0 0 6 - -
Patrick Beverley * 22 2-7 1-5 0-0 4 0 1 1 5 - -
Russell Westbrook 22 4-14 2-6 0-2 5 4 1 0 10 - -
Thomas Bryant 19 6-9 1-3 1-1 6 3 0 0 14 - -
Max Christie 18 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Kendrick Nunn 14 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 10 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 6 - -
Damian Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Matt Ryan 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter