Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (21.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +23 (137-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 27 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 25 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 19 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 25 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 10-11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 8 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 23 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 23 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 4 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 27 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 26 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 25 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 20 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 23 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 20 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 17 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 17 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Alex Len | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter