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2022-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 64.3% 35.7% -
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% -
Margin 58.4% 41.6% -1.9 (19.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% -
Log Adjusted 43.8% 56.2% -
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +18 (126-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 33 9-16 1-2 4-5 6 4 2 2 23 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 30 5-11 1-3 1-1 5 3 1 1 12 - -
Scottie Barnes * 21 1-7 1-5 1-2 1 5 1 1 4 - -
Fred VanVleet * 20 1-8 0-7 0-0 6 6 1 0 2 - -
Thaddeus Young * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 33 12-20 6-11 5-7 1 1 3 0 35 - -
Chris Boucher 26 2-6 0-3 2-4 2 0 1 1 6 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 22 4-6 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 9 - -
Christian Koloko 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 6 - -
Dalano Banton 9 3-7 1-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 7 - -
Khem Birch 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 37 12-15 0-0 9-12 10 5 4 2 33 - -
Trey Murphy III * 37 8-17 6-12 4-4 5 1 1 1 26 - -
Jose Alvarado * 26 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 5 2 0 4 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 6-12 2-5 2-2 13 3 0 0 16 - -
Herbert Jones * 20 4-9 2-5 2-2 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Dyson Daniels 31 6-9 1-2 1-2 8 9 1 0 14 - -
Devonte' Graham 20 0-6 0-5 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 19 4-7 2-2 0-0 5 1 1 1 10 - -
Willy Hernangomez 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Garrett Temple 10 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -

* = starter