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2022-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% -
Log Adjusted 55.4% 44.6% -
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +8 (109-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 34 8-20 2-4 6-11 5 6 2 0 24 - -
Dillon Brooks * 33 4-14 0-4 4-7 6 3 2 0 12 - -
John Konchar * 30 3-7 1-5 0-0 9 2 1 0 7 - -
Steven Adams * 29 3-8 0-1 2-2 12 2 1 1 8 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 24 5-10 1-4 5-6 11 0 0 2 16 - -
Tyus Jones 29 5-10 2-3 1-2 6 1 0 0 13 - -
David Roddy 25 5-8 3-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 13 - -
Santi Aldama 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Brandon Clarke 15 2-5 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 1 4 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 40 10-18 2-6 7-7 3 5 5 3 29 - -
Kyle Anderson * 39 3-11 2-4 2-2 6 5 1 1 10 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 37 6-16 2-7 1-3 5 10 2 0 15 - -
Rudy Gobert * 26 4-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 1 9 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. * 20 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 1 7 - -
Jaylen Nowell 31 9-19 4-10 2-2 5 2 2 0 24 - -
Naz Reid 22 3-8 0-5 1-2 3 1 1 5 7 - -
Austin Rivers 19 2-4 1-3 1-1 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Bryn Forbes 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter