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2022-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 36.7% 63.3% +3.0 (20.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% -
Efficiency 55.6% 44.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.8% 42.2% -
Log Adjusted 57.8% 42.2% -
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -17 (108-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 38 11-23 3-8 2-3 3 6 2 1 27 - -
Trae Young * 36 12-23 2-11 4-5 2 14 0 0 30 - -
Clint Capela * 29 9-10 0-0 2-2 12 1 1 0 20 - -
John Collins * 16 2-6 0-2 2-3 7 0 2 1 6 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jarrett Culver 29 3-7 0-2 3-4 12 0 2 1 9 - -
AJ Griffin 23 6-12 3-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 15 - -
Vit Krejci 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 17 5-7 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 0 12 - -
Trent Forrest 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Frank Kaminsky 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Holiday 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 34 6-14 1-4 7-9 2 5 0 0 20 - -
Franz Wagner * 31 8-17 2-6 4-4 6 3 0 0 22 - -
Bol Bol * 26 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 6 - -
Gary Harris * 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Markelle Fultz * 16 3-8 0-1 2-2 1 4 2 1 8 - -
Moritz Wagner 25 3-5 0-2 3-4 6 8 0 1 9 - -
Cole Anthony 23 3-7 0-1 5-5 4 2 1 0 11 - -
Terrence Ross 22 5-11 2-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 12 - -
Caleb Houstan 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 5 - -
Kevon Harris 13 4-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Admiral Schofield 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
R.J. Hampton 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter