Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.7% | 44.3% | -1.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (116-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 37 | 11-24 | 5-14 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 18 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 26 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 25 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 16 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 14-27 | 4-9 | 9-15 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 41 | 43 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 31 | 8-16 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 22 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Josh Green | 26 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Christian Wood | 25 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter