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2022-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 31.7% 68.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% -
Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.9% 58.1% -
Log Adjusted 41.9% 58.1% -
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -1 (115-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 35 10-22 3-7 1-3 7 14 1 1 24 25 -
Myles Turner * 34 7-17 1-7 0-0 13 4 0 3 15 18 -
Buddy Hield * 31 5-13 1-6 4-5 4 1 0 0 15 7 -
Aaron Nesmith * 23 5-10 4-7 2-2 4 0 1 1 16 12 -
Jalen Smith * 23 1-4 1-3 6-6 3 2 1 1 9 12 -
Bennedict Mathurin 31 10-22 3-8 0-0 8 1 1 0 23 11 -
Andrew Nembhard 28 4-8 4-7 0-0 4 1 1 2 12 12 -
T.J. McConnell 13 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 4 1 1 2 5 -
Oshae Brissett 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 1 -
Isaiah Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Goga Bitadze 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
James Johnson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 8-22 3-10 2-3 7 3 1 0 21 10 -
Anthony Davis * 36 9-15 0-0 7-10 13 6 0 4 25 33 -
Dennis Schroder * 30 2-6 1-4 3-4 3 4 1 0 8 10 -
Troy Brown Jr. * 28 1-5 1-2 0-0 10 1 0 1 3 10 -
Lonnie Walker IV * 21 4-9 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 6 -
Austin Reaves 31 2-4 2-3 7-7 2 1 0 0 13 12 -
Russell Westbrook 27 10-18 2-4 2-3 4 6 1 1 24 18 -
Wenyen Gabriel 13 2-7 0-1 1-2 9 0 0 1 5 8 -
Kendrick Nunn 11 1-5 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 5 2 -
Thomas Bryant 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter