🐻⬇️🏀

@
2022-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.2 ✓ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - ✓
Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 35.0% 65.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +3 (104-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 40 6-13 3-6 2-2 5 6 1 1 17 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 34 7-11 2-2 2-3 3 3 0 0 18 - -
Trae Young * 34 6-14 1-4 5-5 2 10 0 0 18 - -
Clint Capela * 33 4-9 0-0 2-4 16 0 1 0 10 - -
John Collins * 32 4-8 1-4 4-8 8 3 2 4 13 - -
Justin Holiday 20 6-8 4-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 16 - -
AJ Griffin 15 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Trent Forrest 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 4 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shake Milton * 39 9-20 1-1 2-2 5 7 0 0 21 - -
Tobias Harris * 35 10-18 3-7 1-1 10 1 0 0 24 - -
Joel Embiid * 35 9-18 0-1 12-13 8 7 2 2 30 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 31 3-12 2-8 1-2 2 5 2 0 9 - -
P.J. Tucker * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 18 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 2 3 1 2 - -
Georges Niang 18 3-7 3-7 0-0 0 1 1 0 9 - -
Paul Reed 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 - -
Danuel House Jr. 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Matisse Thybulle 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -

* = starter