Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +9 (124-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 38 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 10-20 | 3-7 | 4-9 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 31 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 20 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 32 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 31 | 8-10 | 7-8 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 29 | 11-19 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 23 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 31 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter