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2022-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% -
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% -
Margin 62.6% 37.4% -2.8 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 65.1% 34.9% -
Efficiency 84.4% 15.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% -
Log Adjusted 82.5% 17.5% -
Points Off/Def 71.2% 28.8% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -8 (94-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 40 4-19 0-5 11-12 3 10 0 0 19 - -
Evan Mobley * 39 8-12 2-2 2-5 13 1 0 1 20 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 38 9-23 2-8 12-13 5 1 1 0 32 - -
Dean Wade * 34 1-5 1-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 3 - -
Robin Lopez * 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Isaac Okoro 29 2-2 1-1 2-2 7 0 1 0 7 - -
Cedi Osman 26 4-8 1-4 1-1 3 0 0 1 10 - -
Mamadi Diakite 13 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 4 - -
Raul Neto 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Isaiah Mobley 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 34 6-15 1-5 2-3 5 0 2 1 15 - -
Killian Hayes * 32 7-13 2-5 0-0 3 8 2 1 16 - -
Isaiah Livers * 27 2-5 1-4 2-3 2 0 1 3 7 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 27 6-12 1-2 6-8 10 0 3 1 19 - -
Rodney McGruder * 18 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Alec Burks 25 7-13 1-4 2-3 2 0 0 0 17 - -
Jalen Duren 20 0-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 - -
Hamidou Diallo 19 1-3 1-2 1-4 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Kevin Knox II 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Cory Joseph 16 5-8 0-1 0-3 0 1 0 0 10 - -

* = starter