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2022-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 9.0% 91.0% -
Bradley-Terry 10.7% 89.3% -
Margin 3.0% 97.0% +19.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 22.2% 77.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.6% 77.4% -
Log Adjusted 22.5% 77.5% -
Points Off/Def 27.2% 72.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +9 (130-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 34 11-19 0-3 8-9 5 4 2 0 30 - -
Deni Avdija * 26 4-8 2-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 10 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 26 7-11 0-1 7-8 4 2 0 0 21 - -
Monte Morris * 23 6-8 4-5 0-0 3 8 0 0 16 - -
Corey Kispert * 21 3-8 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Will Barton 30 2-8 0-4 2-3 4 2 1 0 6 - -
Jordan Goodwin 24 4-8 0-3 1-2 1 2 2 1 9 - -
Devon Dotson 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 - -
Anthony Gill 14 1-2 0-1 3-5 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Taj Gibson 12 4-6 0-1 4-4 0 0 1 0 12 - -
Daniel Gafford 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 34 13-23 2-7 8-8 5 2 0 0 36 - -
Grant Williams * 31 2-7 1-4 0-0 7 3 0 0 5 - -
Derrick White * 30 4-7 2-4 5-5 2 3 2 0 15 - -
Marcus Smart * 27 5-8 2-4 2-2 4 7 0 0 14 - -
Al Horford * 25 6-8 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 3 14 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 22 5-10 3-5 4-4 6 4 0 0 17 - -
Luke Kornet 22 4-8 0-1 4-4 4 1 0 2 12 - -
Sam Hauser 21 4-5 3-4 3-3 5 1 0 0 14 - -
Payton Pritchard 17 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Justin Jackson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Noah Vonleh 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter