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2022-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% - ✗
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 ✗ (26.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - ✗
Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 53.0% 47.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 53.0% 47.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 46.9% 53.1% - ✗

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -23 (114-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Draymond Green * 32 6-7 1-2 6-8 4 11 0 2 19 - -
Stephen Curry * 32 7-17 4-11 7-7 11 8 1 0 25 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 31 7-12 3-6 0-0 3 2 2 0 17 - -
Klay Thompson * 29 8-13 5-8 0-0 2 2 2 1 21 - -
Kevon Looney * 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 7 4 1 0 2 - -
Jordan Poole 26 9-17 3-9 3-4 4 6 0 0 24 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 19 3-5 0-2 1-1 6 1 0 2 7 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 18 5-10 4-8 0-0 6 1 1 1 14 - -
JaMychal Green 14 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Anthony Lamb 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Moses Moody 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 35 7-17 2-6 10-11 4 4 1 0 26 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 31 5-14 3-6 2-2 2 6 1 1 15 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 30 8-14 1-5 4-4 4 4 2 0 21 - -
Rudy Gobert * 30 4-9 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 1 9 - -
Austin Rivers * 28 1-4 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Jaylen Nowell 24 5-11 4-7 2-3 3 3 1 0 16 - -
Kyle Anderson 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Bryn Forbes 17 4-8 1-4 1-1 0 1 0 0 10 - -
Naz Reid 16 3-6 2-3 0-1 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 3 0-1 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Nathan Knight 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter