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2022-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 80.1% 19.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 56.2% 43.8% - ✗
Margin 54.2% 45.8% -0.9 ✗ (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - ✓
Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% - ✓

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +14 (111-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 40 11-24 5-10 2-2 4 5 0 0 29 - -
Anfernee Simons * 39 4-14 4-10 3-4 1 6 1 0 15 - -
Justise Winslow * 37 5-10 2-4 2-2 7 6 0 0 14 - -
Josh Hart * 35 4-8 1-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 9 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 33 6-12 0-2 5-8 14 4 0 1 17 - -
Trendon Watford 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Drew Eubanks 14 1-1 0-0 1-3 5 1 1 0 3 - -
Nassir Little 9 1-2 0-1 2-3 2 0 1 0 4 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Royce O'Neale * 38 2-5 0-2 3-4 5 4 0 1 7 - -
Kyrie Irving * 37 8-17 4-10 2-3 5 6 0 0 22 - -
Kevin Durant * 36 12-20 3-6 4-4 5 5 0 0 31 - -
Ben Simmons * 33 1-3 0-0 0-0 12 8 3 0 2 - -
Nic Claxton * 31 4-6 0-0 4-6 7 2 2 1 12 - -
Seth Curry 28 11-15 7-10 0-0 3 1 1 0 29 - -
Joe Harris 16 1-6 1-6 1-1 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Edmond Sumner 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Cam Thomas 5 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter