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2022-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% -
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% -
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +1.3 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% -
Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% -
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% -
Points Off/Def 63.5% 36.5% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -5 (138-143). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonnie Walker IV * 38 7-10 3-5 2-2 5 2 0 0 19 - -
LeBron James * 35 11-21 7-12 10-10 11 3 1 1 39 - -
Dennis Schroder * 30 6-10 3-4 6-6 3 6 0 0 21 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 22 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 0 6 - -
Thomas Bryant * 17 3-4 0-0 3-5 4 1 0 3 9 - -
Austin Reaves 30 6-7 1-2 3-3 2 2 1 0 16 - -
Russell Westbrook 26 4-12 0-3 3-6 7 6 0 1 11 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 21 5-8 2-4 3-3 4 1 1 2 15 - -
Kendrick Nunn 15 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 7 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 37 6-16 4-9 4-4 4 3 1 0 20 - -
Keldon Johnson * 36 10-28 3-9 3-5 10 3 2 1 26 - -
Tre Jones * 35 9-13 0-1 5-7 8 13 2 0 23 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 14 2-6 1-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 5 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 9 6-8 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 12 - -
Romeo Langford 25 3-3 1-1 0-0 3 4 1 1 7 - -
Doug McDermott 25 6-14 3-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 15 - -
Zach Collins 18 4-6 2-3 2-2 8 2 1 2 12 - -
Malaki Branham 16 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Isaiah Roby 16 4-6 2-3 0-2 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Charles Bassey 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter