Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.3% | 29.7% | -4.7 | ✗ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +13 (118-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 29 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 28 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 27 | 12-21 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 24 | 1-11 | 0-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 22 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 21 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 13 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 34 | 11-19 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 34 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 31 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 27 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 18 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 16 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter