Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +5 (105-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 42 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 6-9 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 28 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 29 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 22 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 17 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.G. Anunoby * | 43 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 40 | 7-18 | 3-9 | 9-10 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 29 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 27 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 36 | 10-19 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeff Dowtin Jr. | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter