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2022-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 45.5% 54.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.7% 47.3% -
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% -
Log Adjusted 60.5% 39.5% -
Points Off/Def 52.8% 47.2% -

Actual: LA Clippers -10 (104-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 33 9-21 3-9 0-0 6 9 1 0 21 - -
Nikola Jokic * 32 7-13 0-1 5-7 13 6 2 1 19 - -
Bruce Brown * 31 4-7 0-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 8 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 2-4 1-2 1-2 0 1 1 0 6 - -
Aaron Gordon * 27 12-16 2-4 3-4 7 3 2 2 29 - -
Vlatko Cancar 24 4-9 2-4 3-4 0 2 1 1 13 - -
Davon Reed 19 2-7 1-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Zeke Nnaji 15 2-5 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Ish Smith 13 2-5 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 5 - -
Christian Braun 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Peyton Watson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jack White 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Jackson * 31 4-8 1-2 0-0 5 8 0 0 9 - -
Terance Mann * 30 7-11 1-3 1-1 4 5 0 0 16 - -
Ivica Zubac * 29 2-6 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 0 6 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 26 7-12 1-3 0-2 2 0 0 0 15 - -
Amir Coffey * 24 3-6 2-4 1-2 2 3 0 0 9 - -
Nicolas Batum 24 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 - -
John Wall 23 8-10 2-2 5-8 0 2 1 0 23 - -
Norman Powell 23 3-8 2-3 3-6 1 2 0 1 11 - -
Robert Covington 19 2-3 2-2 6-7 6 2 0 2 12 - -
Moses Brown 5 1-1 0-0 1-6 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter