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2022-11-26

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 37.2% 62.8% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% -
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +21 (132-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 30 6-12 0-0 2-2 5 4 1 0 14 - -
Herbert Jones * 22 4-11 2-4 3-4 5 3 1 1 13 - -
Jose Alvarado * 22 2-7 1-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 7 - -
Brandon Ingram * 17 2-6 0-1 4-4 3 3 0 0 8 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Trey Murphy III 26 7-14 1-6 6-7 3 1 1 0 21 - -
Dyson Daniels 24 3-5 1-1 2-2 5 6 0 0 9 - -
Devonte' Graham 14 1-3 1-3 2-3 2 3 1 1 5 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 - -
Naji Marshall 13 3-6 3-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Willy Hernangomez 12 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 6 - -
Jaxson Hayes 12 1-5 0-3 3-3 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Garrett Temple 12 2-4 1-2 1-2 0 0 2 1 6 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 29 8-15 4-9 5-5 2 4 0 0 25 - -
Ja Morant * 27 8-16 2-6 5-10 4 11 0 0 23 - -
John Konchar * 25 3-6 3-5 0-0 6 0 1 0 9 - -
Steven Adams * 25 7-10 0-0 1-2 11 1 1 0 15 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 21 6-7 2-3 6-7 4 0 1 3 20 - -
Jake LaRavia 26 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
David Roddy 24 4-11 2-5 1-1 2 0 0 0 11 - -
Tyus Jones 21 3-7 3-5 0-0 1 6 0 0 9 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 5-7 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 1 12 - -
Kennedy Chandler 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter