Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +6 (128-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Andre Hunter * | 38 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 37 | 13-28 | 4-10 | 14-16 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 44 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 14-24 | 8-13 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 23 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 38 | 6-17 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 36 | 5-16 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 33 | 10-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 32 | 10-17 | 3-9 | 7-9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 22 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 9-9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 18 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter