🐻⬇️🏀

@
2022-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% -
Bradley-Terry 20.8% 79.2% -
Margin 10.9% 89.1% +11.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% -
Log Adjusted 34.8% 65.2% -
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +18 (122-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 33 7-13 0-2 4-4 10 6 0 0 18 - -
Kevin Huerter * 31 2-10 0-6 3-3 3 3 0 1 7 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 30 6-17 3-9 5-5 4 2 0 0 20 - -
Harrison Barnes * 22 4-9 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 0 12 - -
Keegan Murray * 22 1-8 1-6 0-0 10 0 1 1 3 - -
Malik Monk 22 4-12 1-6 0-1 2 3 1 0 9 - -
KZ Okpala 20 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 1 7 - -
Davion Mitchell 14 5-6 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 1 13 - -
Terence Davis 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Chimezie Metu 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Trey Lyles 8 1-1 1-1 3-4 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 4 1-2 0-1 0-1 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Richaun Holmes 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 31 10-17 2-6 8-9 8 4 1 0 30 - -
Marcus Smart * 29 0-4 0-3 4-4 4 5 0 0 4 - -
Al Horford * 27 5-8 3-3 0-0 4 5 0 2 13 - -
Jaylen Brown * 26 9-16 1-4 6-6 5 4 2 0 25 - -
Derrick White * 25 6-11 3-7 1-2 3 2 3 0 16 - -
Sam Hauser 21 3-6 3-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 20 3-9 2-3 0-0 3 4 2 1 8 - -
Grant Williams 18 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 1 2 - -
Payton Pritchard 15 2-4 2-3 3-4 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Luke Kornet 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 4 - -
Justin Jackson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Noah Vonleh 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
JD Davison 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter