Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✗ (24.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -19 (110-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - | |
| Jose Alvarado * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 26 | 14-18 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 29 | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 26 | 9-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 24 | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 27 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 31 | 10-17 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 22 | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 16 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 23 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 22 | 9-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Jordan Hall | 6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter