Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -5 (126-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Brown * | 44 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 43 | 11-15 | 1-3 | 16-18 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 41 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 37 | 10-16 | 4-5 | 7-11 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed * | 24 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 34 | 7-18 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jack White | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 42 | 8-20 | 1-4 | 14-14 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 34 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 29 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams | 29 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 20 | 7-11 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter