Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +13 (125-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 17-28 | 3-8 | 5-9 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 42 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 31 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 34 | 10-14 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 22 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 36 | 11-24 | 2-7 | 13-15 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 37 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 35 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 35 | 13-18 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 23 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter