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2022-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 39.5% 60.5% +2.4 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% -
Log Adjusted 54.6% 45.4% -
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (115-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 34 6-11 0-1 3-4 13 7 1 0 15 25 -
Harrison Barnes * 32 4-8 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 8 8 -
De'Aaron Fox * 32 7-20 1-6 3-7 5 5 0 0 18 8 -
Kevin Huerter * 29 4-10 3-7 2-2 4 5 1 1 13 14 -
Keegan Murray * 20 0-5 0-3 4-4 4 0 0 0 4 3 -
Malik Monk 26 12-18 3-7 0-0 0 4 2 0 27 15 -
Trey Lyles 20 4-7 1-3 3-3 7 2 1 1 12 16 -
Davion Mitchell 19 2-6 0-1 0-1 0 2 0 0 4 0 -
Chimezie Metu 13 2-3 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 5 9 -
Terence Davis 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 -
Matthew Dellavedova 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
KZ Okpala 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 34 5-12 1-4 2-2 10 3 1 1 13 16 -
Dejounte Murray * 34 5-16 1-4 4-4 7 4 3 0 15 13 -
Trae Young * 34 11-19 4-7 9-9 1 7 0 0 35 24 -
John Collins * 31 3-12 0-7 1-1 3 2 1 1 7 2 -
Clint Capela * 28 5-10 0-0 1-1 14 1 0 3 11 19 -
AJ Griffin 24 4-8 2-4 2-2 3 2 1 0 12 10 -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 1-3 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 1 5 11 -
Aaron Holiday 16 3-5 3-3 0-0 0 2 2 0 9 8 -
Jalen Johnson 15 4-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 8 5 -

* = starter