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2022-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 76.6% 23.4% -
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% -
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.9 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Efficiency 56.8% 43.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.7% 45.3% -
Log Adjusted 54.7% 45.3% -
Points Off/Def 49.3% 50.7% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -14 (101-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 36 8-11 1-1 6-7 11 8 2 2 23 - -
Anthony Edwards * 35 7-14 3-5 2-2 7 2 1 0 19 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 35 7-10 1-4 0-0 3 12 3 1 15 - -
Rudy Gobert * 32 9-11 0-0 3-4 16 2 0 0 21 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 30 8-11 2-4 0-0 3 3 0 4 18 - -
Kyle Anderson 23 3-5 0-1 1-2 7 2 1 2 7 - -
Austin Rivers 19 2-4 1-3 1-2 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Jaylen Nowell 11 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Taurean Prince 10 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 4 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nathan Knight 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Luka Garza 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 35 4-15 2-7 0-0 2 14 1 0 10 - -
Buddy Hield * 34 5-16 3-11 0-0 3 2 2 0 13 - -
Myles Turner * 32 12-17 7-9 0-0 7 2 4 1 31 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 25 1-9 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Jalen Smith * 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 2 1 2 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 33 5-11 2-2 9-12 3 0 1 0 21 - -
Oshae Brissett 19 2-7 1-5 0-2 4 0 2 0 5 - -
T.J. McConnell 18 4-8 0-1 2-2 1 4 1 0 10 - -
Goga Bitadze 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 3 4 - -
Kendall Brown 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Terry Taylor 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter