Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -2 (108-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 35 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 25 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Isaiah Livers * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 22 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Jalen Duren | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 24 | 8-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 20 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 17 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 36 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 25 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 9 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - | |
| Davon Reed | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter