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2022-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 40.4% 59.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Log Adjusted 49.4% 50.6% -
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -4 (109-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 37 3-8 0-1 3-6 13 8 0 0 9 22 -
De'Aaron Fox * 35 11-21 5-8 5-6 8 6 4 0 32 29 -
Harrison Barnes * 33 7-13 4-8 8-8 4 0 1 0 26 18 -
Kevin Huerter * 33 6-10 4-7 2-4 6 1 3 1 18 19 -
Keegan Murray * 23 1-8 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 -1 -
Malik Monk 23 5-13 2-8 2-3 2 4 1 0 14 8 -
Davion Mitchell 18 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 4 -
Trey Lyles 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
Chimezie Metu 10 5-7 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 10 6 -
Terence Davis 9 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 33 12-21 1-3 9-15 7 6 2 0 34 28 -
Dillon Brooks * 31 6-16 0-3 2-2 5 5 1 0 14 9 -
John Konchar * 30 3-8 2-6 2-2 9 2 1 2 10 16 -
Steven Adams * 30 2-5 0-0 1-4 16 0 0 1 5 17 -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 27 8-14 1-5 5-7 3 1 2 5 22 19 -
Tyus Jones 27 3-9 2-5 0-0 3 6 2 0 8 10 -
Brandon Clarke 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 6 6 -
Santi Aldama 16 3-9 1-4 0-0 2 2 3 1 7 6 -
David Roddy 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
Jake LaRavia 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter