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2022-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 72.9% 27.1% -
Bradley-Terry 64.3% 35.7% -
Margin 75.8% 24.2% -6.3 (51.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% -
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% -
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +45 (128-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathan Kuminga * 39 6-20 4-12 2-2 3 2 1 2 18 - -
Anthony Lamb * 34 1-5 0-4 0-0 6 5 1 1 2 - -
Jordan Poole * 26 9-18 2-9 6-7 0 0 1 1 26 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 19 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 5 2 0 0 - -
Kevon Looney * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Moses Moody 32 2-6 1-5 5-6 4 1 1 0 10 - -
Ty Jerome 26 2-4 1-1 2-2 1 3 0 0 7 - -
JaMychal Green 23 4-6 0-2 2-2 8 1 0 1 10 - -
Ryan Rollins 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 15 3-6 1-4 0-0 5 0 3 0 7 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 30 12-19 3-7 7-7 6 3 3 0 34 - -
Zion Williamson * 23 3-7 0-0 3-4 2 4 0 0 9 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 22 4-4 0-0 2-5 13 2 0 0 10 - -
CJ McCollum * 21 6-10 3-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 15 - -
Herbert Jones * 19 1-6 0-4 1-2 3 2 1 3 3 - -
Naji Marshall 23 3-7 0-2 0-0 4 7 1 0 6 - -
Devonte' Graham 22 6-11 6-11 1-1 5 4 1 0 19 - -
Dyson Daniels 20 4-7 1-3 0-0 5 2 2 0 9 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 2 4 - -
Jose Alvarado 16 4-7 2-5 0-0 1 3 3 0 10 - -
Willy Hernangomez 7 2-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -
Garrett Temple 7 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter