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2022-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 61.6% 38.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 23.1% 76.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% -
Log Adjusted 24.3% 75.7% -
Points Off/Def 28.8% 71.2% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +8 (119-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 39 7-9 2-2 1-1 9 2 2 0 17 - -
Anfernee Simons * 37 12-23 3-11 2-2 4 5 1 0 29 - -
Jerami Grant * 35 6-16 0-2 6-8 4 2 0 2 18 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 31 7-15 1-4 1-2 10 3 0 0 16 - -
Shaedon Sharpe * 26 1-9 0-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Nassir Little 20 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Justise Winslow 17 4-8 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Drew Eubanks 15 1-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 5 - -
Trendon Watford 12 3-4 2-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 10 - -
John Butler Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jabari Walker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 16-24 0-1 5-12 7 6 2 0 37 - -
Grayson Allen * 31 5-8 2-5 5-5 8 2 0 0 17 - -
Brook Lopez * 30 6-12 2-5 0-0 4 2 1 5 14 - -
Jrue Holiday * 27 7-14 1-6 2-2 4 6 3 0 17 - -
Jevon Carter * 25 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 3 1 1 5 - -
Bobby Portis 24 6-11 1-3 0-0 5 4 0 1 13 - -
George Hill 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 5 2 1 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 18 2-4 1-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Pat Connaughton 15 2-5 1-4 2-2 2 1 2 0 7 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Serge Ibaka 4 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
AJ Green 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter