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2022-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 62.6% 37.4% -
Bradley-Terry 65.8% 34.2% -
Margin 78.6% 21.4% -7.2 (21.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% -
Log Adjusted 63.1% 36.9% -
Points Off/Def 54.5% 45.5% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +14 (121-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 38 9-20 4-10 3-5 7 2 0 0 25 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 9-19 4-10 6-7 11 7 0 0 28 - -
Al Horford * 34 0-9 0-7 0-0 5 2 2 2 0 - -
Marcus Smart * 34 3-9 2-5 0-0 1 8 1 1 8 - -
Grant Williams * 34 5-9 3-7 0-0 7 1 0 0 13 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 25 8-13 5-6 2-3 1 6 0 1 23 - -
Derrick White 17 2-5 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Sam Hauser 12 1-2 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Luke Kornet 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 36 5-8 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 10 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 35 11-24 3-3 3-3 8 4 1 0 28 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 6-7 0-1 0-1 13 6 0 0 12 - -
Zach LaVine * 33 8-20 5-10 1-2 5 5 2 0 22 - -
Patrick Williams * 25 6-9 3-4 2-2 4 0 1 0 17 - -
Alex Caruso 28 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 4 4 0 10 - -
Coby White 13 2-8 1-6 4-4 2 3 1 1 9 - -
Javonte Green 12 3-3 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Andre Drummond 12 1-2 0-0 3-4 12 1 0 0 5 - -
Goran Dragic 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter