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2022-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 63.9% 36.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Log Adjusted 47.0% 53.0% -
Points Off/Def 43.6% 56.4% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +21 (123-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mo Bamba * 32 5-6 2-3 3-3 4 1 0 0 15 - -
Franz Wagner * 30 6-11 0-1 8-10 6 3 1 0 20 - -
Bol Bol * 27 4-11 0-1 1-2 9 2 0 0 9 - -
Jalen Suggs * 23 5-13 1-4 1-2 2 4 4 0 12 - -
Chuma Okeke * 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Gary Harris 22 6-11 3-6 3-3 3 0 0 0 18 - -
Admiral Schofield 21 4-11 2-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Terrence Ross 21 2-7 2-5 0-0 2 2 3 1 6 - -
R.J. Hampton 21 2-7 0-3 2-3 2 5 1 0 6 - -
Kevon Harris 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 - -
Caleb Houstan 12 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 4 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Nesmith * 30 3-7 2-6 1-1 8 2 1 0 9 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 27 7-12 1-5 3-3 4 14 0 0 18 - -
Myles Turner * 26 3-9 0-3 4-4 5 1 1 3 10 - -
Buddy Hield * 21 3-13 1-10 2-2 5 0 1 0 9 - -
Jalen Smith * 17 3-8 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 6 - -
T.J. McConnell 31 7-8 3-4 2-2 5 10 3 0 19 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 26 6-13 2-6 8-10 5 1 0 0 22 - -
Oshae Brissett 26 5-9 4-7 4-5 3 1 2 0 18 - -
Isaiah Jackson 21 5-5 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 10 - -
Terry Taylor 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Goga Bitadze 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter