Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +12 (114-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 37 | 4-17 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 35 | 10-22 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin * | 35 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 19 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 38 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 38 | 11-22 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 28 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter