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2022-11-21

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 73.1% 26.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% - ✓
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 ✓ (28.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - ✓
Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 20.7% 79.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 25.0% 75.0% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +31 (123-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keldon Johnson * 31 4-20 1-10 3-5 3 1 1 0 12 - -
Devin Vassell * 29 7-14 3-4 0-1 4 4 0 1 17 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 26 6-14 0-3 0-1 6 1 3 0 12 - -
Tre Jones * 26 5-12 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 10 - -
Gorgui Dieng * 21 3-6 1-3 0-0 7 3 0 0 7 - -
Charles Bassey 20 4-5 0-0 0-2 8 5 1 0 8 - -
Josh Richardson 18 4-10 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 10 - -
Doug McDermott 18 4-7 0-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 16 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 - -
Isaiah Roby 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 - -
Malaki Branham 5 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dominick Barlow 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Jordan Hall 5 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonnie Walker IV * 27 6-12 2-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 14 - -
Anthony Davis * 27 12-19 0-2 6-6 18 2 3 1 30 - -
Austin Reaves * 27 7-11 3-4 4-4 2 3 0 0 21 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 23 1-4 0-2 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 - -
Patrick Beverley * 19 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 - -
Dennis Schroder 22 4-7 1-2 4-4 2 2 1 0 13 - -
Thomas Bryant 22 5-5 0-0 5-8 9 1 0 0 15 - -
Russell Westbrook 21 4-9 2-5 0-0 4 10 1 0 10 - -
Kendrick Nunn 20 4-8 3-6 2-2 3 2 0 0 13 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Matt Ryan 5 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Damian Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter