Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -1 (97-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 38 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 22 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 35 | 10-21 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 19 | - | |
| Davon Reed | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 11 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 6-10 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 24 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 29 | 5-15 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Josh Green | 30 | 8-9 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 20 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - | |
| Christian Wood | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 14 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter