Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -7 (120-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 11-20 | 7-14 | 4-5 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 39 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 36 | 8-16 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 35 | 14-23 | 10-13 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 27 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 24 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 15 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 14 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 37 | 4-15 | 1-8 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 34 | 10-19 | 5-11 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 25 | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 32 | 8-14 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 29 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 22 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | |
| Tari Eason | 22 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter