Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +26 (113-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Martin * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 31 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 26 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 28 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 13 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 27 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 7-7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 26 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens * | 22 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 37 | 8-17 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 29 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 14 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mamadi Diakite | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Mobley | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter