Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.9% | 46.1% | -0.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +8 (137-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 33 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 32 | 8-14 | 4-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 24 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 22 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 15 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 38 | 10-19 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 10-11 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 35 | 11-18 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 33 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter