Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +1 (114-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bol Bol * | 33 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - | |
| Mo Bamba * | 33 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 30 | 9-17 | 5-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 21 | - | |
| Chuma Okeke * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 25 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 23 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -2 | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Kevon Harris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 34 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 33 | 9-16 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 29 | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 30 | 5-12 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 24 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 26 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 25 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 19 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter