Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +2 (124-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 45 | 11-29 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 44 | 4-18 | 1-11 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| O.G. Anunoby * | 42 | 10-24 | 0-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young * | 35 | 9-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 28 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jeff Dowtin Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Andre Hunter * | 45 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 11-14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 41 | 12-21 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 40 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 34 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 30 | 8-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 7 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter