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2022-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 74.3% 25.7% -
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% -
Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% -
Log Adjusted 25.8% 74.2% -
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +7 (128-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 35 7-15 0-2 6-7 6 5 0 0 20 - -
Killian Hayes * 34 7-14 4-6 0-0 2 9 1 1 18 - -
Jaden Ivey * 33 5-18 1-9 6-8 4 5 0 1 17 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 22 5-10 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 11 - -
Saddiq Bey * 21 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Alec Burks 24 6-10 5-8 6-8 3 3 1 0 23 - -
Jalen Duren 21 5-7 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 1 12 - -
Hamidou Diallo 20 5-6 0-1 3-5 2 1 1 0 13 - -
Isaiah Livers 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 - -
Nerlens Noel 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 36 5-8 2-4 4-4 4 6 0 1 16 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 34 6-13 1-4 4-4 1 3 0 0 17 - -
Anthony Davis * 34 10-16 0-1 18-21 16 2 1 4 38 - -
Patrick Beverley * 25 1-3 1-3 1-2 3 2 0 1 4 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 18 3-5 1-2 1-1 2 1 1 0 8 - -
Russell Westbrook 30 4-13 0-2 2-3 5 12 0 0 10 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 17 5-5 0-0 5-5 7 0 0 0 15 - -
Kendrick Nunn 16 4-4 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Dennis Schroder 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Thomas Bryant 13 4-6 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 8 - -

* = starter